Showing posts with label economicsChina. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economicsChina. Show all posts

Monday, February 18, 2013

EconomicsChina: How did capitalism rebuild itelf?: Under China's Communist Party?

Ronald Coase, Nobel Prize winner in economics and a legal scholar, has coauthored with Ning Wang, an important new book, How China became capitalist.  Ilya Somin has noticed this and points us to the Cato Policy Report of the same title by the same authors.  And what a deliteful pointer he provides.  The Coase and Ning article is one of most important I've encountered toward better understanding the transformations of the economy by purely economic forces, the Chinese government's acquiescence to many of these peasant-initiated changes in its tolerance of 'reform at the margins.'"
There is no doubt that the post-Mao Chinese government pursued a series of reforms. But today, with the benefit of hindsight, we know that the economic forces that were really transforming the Chinese economy in the first decade of reform were private farming, township and village enterprises, private business in cities, and the Special Economic Zones. None of them was initiated from Beijing. They were marginal players operating outside the boundary of socialism. For these marginal forces, the Chinese government was happy to leave them alone as long as they did not threaten the state sector or challenge the Party’s political power. This created a room for what we called the “marginal revolutions” that brought entrepreneurship and market forces back to China during the first decade of reform.
If you know something about the field, meditate on this statement by Coase and Ning:  "The Special Economic Zones ... were established to coopt capitalism to save socialism."

Our authors mention the different account put forward by Huang Yasheng, Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics (2008).  If Huang is suggesting that "China moved away from a free market economy in the second decade of reform, it misses a fundamental change in the economy in the 1990s; the emergence of a common national market, which was a precondition for regional compettion to work."

Ronald Coase [and Ning Wing] on 

China’s Transition to Capitalism



Volokh Conspiracy (Feb18,2k13)

Posted: 31 Jan 2013 07:20 PM PST
by Ilya Somin (reposted here by Lawt with interspersed notes and comments)

Legendary Nobel Prize-winning economist and legal scholar Ronald Coase has just published a new book, How China Became Capitalist, coauthored with political scientist Ning Wang. It’s incredible that Coase is still publishing books at the age of 102! He puts the rest of us academics to shame.
Coase and Wang summarize their thesis in this article in the Cato Policy Report:
No one foresaw that the “socialist modernization” that the post-Mao Chinese government launched would in 30 years turn into what scholars today have called China’s great economic transformation. How the actions of Chinese peasants, workers, scholars, and policymakers coalesce into this unintended consequence is the story we tried to capture. Today, we don’t need to present any statistical data to convince you the rise of the Chinese economy, even though China still faces enormous challenges ahead. Many Chinese are still poor, far fewer Chinese have access to clean water than to cell phones, and they still face many hurdles in protecting their rights and exercising their freedom. Nonetheless, China has been transformed from the inside out over the past 35 years. This transformation is the story of our time. The struggle of China, in other words, is the struggle of the world.
Against conventional wisdom, we take the end of 1976 as the start of post-Mao reform and argue that China basically became a market economy by the end of the 90s before it joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. In the new millennium, the Chinese economy has kept its growth momentum and become more integrated with the global economy. As an account of how China became capitalist, our book focuses mainly on the first two decades of reform.
Ilya Somin: As a property scholar, I was particular interested in Coase and Wang’s emphasis on the crucial importance of the reestablishment of private property in agriculture:
There is no doubt that the post-Mao Chinese government pursued a series of reforms. But today, with the benefit of hindsight, we know that the economic forces that were really transforming the Chinese economy in the first decade of reform were private farming, township and village enterprises, private business in cities, and the Special Economic Zones. None of them was initiated from Beijing. They were marginal players operating outside the boundary of socialism. For these marginal forces, the Chinese government was happy to leave them alone as long as they did not threaten the state sector or challenge the Party’s political power. This created a room for what we called the “marginal revolutions” that brought entrepreneurship and market forces back to China during the first decade of reform. 
One such marginal revolution is private farming. Private farming was certainly not new in China. Before 1949, it had existed for millenia [May I recommend here a book of social anthropology on the ancientness and longevity of the  'Green Circle' of the Chinese village. — Lawt] In the early 1950s, Mao tried ruthlessly to collectivize farming. Some peasants believed in Mao and hoped collectivization would offer them a way out of poverty. After 20 years of collective farming and 40 million famine deaths, they knew better. Many went back to private farming after Mao died, even though Beijing was still trying to beef up the commune system. In September 1980 Beijing was forced to allow private farming in areas where “the people had lost their confidence in the collective.” But once the floodgates of private farming were opened, it could no longer be controlled. By early 1982 it became a national policy. Chinese agriculture was decollectivized. Later in the official account of reform, Beijing would credit itself for launching agricultural reform. But the reform enacted by Beijing merely raised the purchasing prices of grain and increased grain import; private farming, which really transformed Chinese agriculture and freed Chinese peasants, did not come from Beijing.
Mao Zedong’s collectivization of Chinese agriculture cost tens of millions of lives, and was probably the largest mass murder in all of world history. [This figure takes us beyond what I had earlier thawt. — Lawt]  In a society where the vast majority of people were still peasants, the re-privatization of agriculture in the late 1970s and early 1980s was a huge step forward, possibly doing more to generate economic progress than any of the other reforms adopted by the Chinese government during that period.  [But this process is not without its own agonies. Land that had been seize3d for building factories, schools, and civic buildings took much of the rich farmland that the former owners and heirs can no no longer recover.  Property law becomes a critical location of recovering some of what has been lost, but there are parallels to the same sort of process thru-out the Western world, not least of all the USA and Canada. - Lawt]

The Chinese government’s respect for property rights is far from ideal, even today. But it is a major improvement relative to the bad old days of Mao.

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

EconomicsBrasil: Culture or Comnerce?: Brasil seeks something different from what China wants in Africa

Two rising economies, those of China and Brasil, both with major problems of development themselves, are competing in Africa — where China emphasizes resource extraction, and Brasil emphasizes just about everything else but is mainly interested in export of its own manufactures and import of food commodities where specific needs are experienced.  Brazil is not a country with food shortages, as is Venezuela at the moment.  That doesn't mean, of course, that all of Brasil's have yet the means to eat nutritious food daily.

So the campaign of Brasil for attention in Africa is floated on "historical, social, linguistic, and cultural" ties.  To term these as "political" is not quite accurate.  True, the Brazilian govt mediates these ties in large part thru its budget, but the ties are precisely historical (several African states were once part of the same Empire as was Brasil, where the Portuguese monarchy was moved for a period), social (the rulers and movers of Empire obtained as chattel living human persons to be transported to Brasil as slaves to work the plantations being carved out of the countryside and forests — this fact is never made explicit in the Alexandra Reza's otherwise splendid article), linguistic (the classical culture and literature, as well as sung music was in the Portuguese language (the country being anciently known as "Lusitania") and that language was shared between LusoAfrican states and Brasil in South America, education was based on Portuguese and slaves even coud rise in status were they educated in classical Lusitanian culture, especially if they got to universities to receive academic degrees), and cultural (whatever in the culture was not strictly language was something else again, because in this sector, including religion, African cultural traits became Brasilian cultural traits — as in the music, dance, folklore, and animistic practices of religious cults — all of these and more became themes and rich sources of imagery and metaphor in the writing of Brasil's great novelists, for instance.

So I woud have to speculate that part of Lula's passion in pursuing the African connection comes from his own imaginary in which the African connections brawt home to his heart by Brazilian Portuguese literature became foundational to his view of the world.  Say to say, Lula da Silva is in a cloud of suspicion due to the grand scandal of enormous embezzlement at the heart of the former President's government and his Workers Party; the case is now before Brasil's Supreme Court.

EconoMix, refWrite Frontpage economics business labour
     newspotter, analyst, columnist


Think Africa Press (Jan23,2k13)

Investing in Africa: Is Brazil the New China?

Brazil's role as a trade partner with Africa is increasing, but the political links between the continent and Brazil may prove more important.



In December, senior representatives of the Chinese and Brazilian foreign ministries met in Beijing for what was billed the ‘second China-Brazil consultation on African affairs’. They claimed to have expanded their consensus on Africa issues, but to what extent does such a consensus exist?
It is understandably tempting to draw parallels between China and Brazil’s economic and political engagement in Africa, and both have generated much speculation. But how similar are the two emerging powers’ interactions with the continent?

Each to his own

While Brazil is often held up as the ‘new China’, the two countries have very different motivations for their presence in Africa. Unlike China, Brazil is relatively self-sufficient in terms of natural resources, and as a result Brasilia has not pushed the Chinese model of large-scale resource-backed infrastructure deals. As far as Brazil’s exports are concerned, Africa has nowhere near the strategic importance [to Brasil] of markets in China, the US, or even Argentina. As such, it seems that Brazil’s relationship with Africa has thus far been predominantly political rather than commercial.
Since the first term of former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003-10), the Brazilian government has strengthened its diplomatic ties across Africa. After taking office, Lula quickly doubled the budget of the Itamaraty (Brazil’s foreign ministry), leading to a concerted expansion of embassies in developing countries in general, especially in Africa. Brazil now has 37 embassies on the continentmore than the UK, a former colonial power. Between them, Lula and his foreign minister Celso Amorim visited Africa 80 times between 2003 and 2008.
Furthermore, Brasilia often invokes its historical, social, linguistic, and cultural links with Africa as a means to position itself as a ‘natural’ partner. Lula often spoke of an “historic debt” that Brazil owes to Africa, a reference to the historical exchanges between Africa and Brazil in terms of culture, traditions and people (Brazil is home to more people of African descent than any other country outside Africa).
Although domestic rather than foreign policy appears to be the priority of the current president, Dilma Rousseff, she has continued to chart a similar course. Notably, she has talked of a shared experience of colonialism and last year spoke of building a relationship with Africa entirely free of the “colonial practices that devastated my continent and the African continent, free of all the colonial hells that we lived”.
There are clear links between these two parts of the world, but promoting them is also a diplomatic exercise. Such overtures towards Africa fit Brazil’s more general policy of presenting an image of being a benign and neutral leader among developing countries. This strategy is astutely designed with the objective of giving Brazil more projection in multilateral forums such as the World Trade Organisation (WTO), and of achieving the government’s long-standing ambition to securing a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.

Getting down to business

Alongside the political push, trade between the two regions has grown in total value over the last ten years, covering a wide range of sectors including oil and gas, fertilisers, beef, agricultural produce, minerals and automobiles. However, data from 2010 shows that Africa still only accounts for 5.3% of Brazil’s total trade, a percentage that has decreased steadily since 2007, while trade with Asia has increased.
Nevertheless, while Brazil’s strategy is political in emphasis, Brazilian businesses have often been central to the government’s outreach programme. Lula and Rousseff have both fiercely advocated the formation of 'national champions': Brazilian conglomerates that expand the country’s clout abroad and that aim to become worldwide market leaders. To this end, the Brazilian state, via the Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES), often supports its private companies’ African investments, taking advantage of its financial strength as a means to demonstrate Brazil’s increasing global prominence. In Africa, Brazil’s major construction and extractive firms – such as Petrobras, Vale and Odebrecht – have led the way in terms of investment and sales volume.
And while Brazilian investment in Africa remains a fraction of China’s, investment value grew from $69 billion to $214 billion between 2001 and 2009. There have been particularly large investments in Lusophone Africa [Portugese-speaking countries], often facilitated by credit offered to Brazilian companies by the BNDES: in Angola, BNDES credit has reached $3.2 billion. Notably, while Chinese policy banks such as the China Exim Bank typically provide finance direct to African governments, the BNDES supports the expansions of Brazilian firms rather than foreign administrations.
Further, Brazilian firms have often had to negotiate conflicting pressures from Brasilia: to promote Brazil abroad, but also to prioritise domestic investment and job creation in a time of diminished growth. This is in contrast to Chinese policy whereby in the past decade, Chinese state-owned enterprises have often been charged with a mandate to aggressively expand at all costs in Africa. Brazil’s expansion has been more cautious.

An uncertain future

Brazilian investment in Africa is likely to continue in coming years. But as more investors inevitably make decisions in Africa on the basis of private interest and commercial returns, Brasilia may find it difficult to protect its national brand. Private actors with differing agendas are becoming ever more visible, and there is a risk that this will undermine Brazil’s political project of portraying itself as a partner which always prioritises mutual benefit in a spirit of co-operation and equality.

Thursday, December 6, 2012

EconomicsChina: New legislation: Protects small farmer's land, raises its market value, raises status of small-holdings income



Land of small-farm families 

re-valued by legal changes

In China, the economic status of farm holdings is vitally important.  Ownership of arable land was not protected in the period when the government wanted to encourage outside interests -- industrial interests, and also builders of new housing for the workforces that woud make industry function in the countryside, but also builders of new facilities from schools to shops to cultural facilities -- to buy cheap, leaving the peasants without with insufficient funds longterm to enter the new prosperity, each farming family having lost its land. Pressures often were in play, to the extent that sales of land were not really freely contracted on the basis of market values, unconditioned by govt policies favouring the industrialization process and the development of large commercial farms.

Our refWrite-experimental frongpage still does not accomodate video, so I recommend readers copy and paste this iframe code into your own player or other receptive page, to play this important Wall Street Journal report from China.

<iframe frameborder="0" scrolling="no" width="512" height="288" src="http://live.wsj.com/public/page/embed-97B1BF84_5EE8_4ACC_8F74_6DBFAAC768BC.html"></iframe>

-- EconoMix, refWrite Frontpage economics, business, labour